Tuesday, April 15, 2008

Who didn't win today? (And county seed predictions)

...upset Tuesday....


No, Hillary didn't beat Obama in Pennsylvania...that primary is next week...

Some surprises in Somerset County should make for an interesting tournament seeding meeting at North Plainfield High Wednesday night. (We'll have the real seeds posted here as soon as we can Wednesday night with a podcast to follow).


Bridgewater-Raritan beat Immaculata 9-5 at Cust Academy in Raritan Township.
Hillsborough beat previously unbeaten Watchung Hills 9-8 in eight innings at Hillsborough
North Plainfield knocked off Hackettstown 7-3 on the road.
Franklin won its first game of the season by beating Montgomery 9-2 in a game where both teams were winless.

So? What does it mean for the seeds?

Bridgewater-Raritan and North Plainfield were big winners here. Since Watchung Hills was beaten by Hillsborough, the Warriors will probably fall to third or fourth. Take a look:

Immaculata (4-1). One loss isn't going to matter. The Spartans are the defending champions and should be treated as such. Top seed.

Hillsborough(5-2). It beat previously-unbeaten Watchung Hills. Watchung Hills hasn't played Immaculata. Head-to-head right?

Watchung Hills (6-1) or Somerville (6-1): The Warriors and Somerville could be as high as second, but Hillsborugh's win Tuesday should stand in the way. Somerville plays in the Raritan Division of the Skyland Conference. Watchung Hills in the Delaware East. Somerville's opponents have a composite 23-21 record. Watchung's 20-19-1. Tough call.

I'll go with Watchung third and Somerville fourth -- not by much.

Fifth seed: Bernards (4-2)? Rutgers Prep (7-1)? Bridgewater-Raritan (2-2)?

Bridgewater-Raritan's win over Immaculata should be enough for the fifth seed, considering -- the county is not very deep this year. That's being nice.

Sixth? Bernards (4-2) and Rutgers Prep (7-1) both beat Gill St. Bernards. Don't discount the Argonauts.

Bernards should gain the sixth spot by inch. Rutgers Prep coach Larry Santowasso has some good ammunition. His team has won six straight since losing to Princeton Day.

Prep gets seventh.

Eighth? Ridge is 4-5 with a quality win over Elizabeth and South Plainfield. The Red Devils should get the eighth spot though it is 0-5 against Skyland Conference teams.

North Plainfield is 3-4 after beating Hackettstown Tuesday. Hackettstown is 3-2 with a quality win over Delaware Valley (4-2), which beat North Plainfield 10-3 in the season opener.

North Plainfield ninth. Barely. If Franklin had protected leads of 9-0 and 9-7 in what turned out to be a 10-10 tie against Voorhees last week, I would have felt much better about the Warriors.

Franklin (1-3-1). Its win over Montgomery (0-6) should give the Warriors a ninth or 10th

This is the first time in years since Montgomery has stumbled. Remember, this is a team that lost to Immaculata 7-6 in its opening game. But losing to Franklin should mean the Cougars are headed to a preliminary round game and an 11th seed.

Gill St. Bernards (2-5): The Knights could have really gone a long way in making a point of being in the single digit seeds by beating Bernards Monday. They had a 2-0 lead, going into the bottom of the seventh before the Mountaineers scored three runs to win 3-2. Is Gill St. Bernards better than Montgomery or Franklin? No. 12.

Pingry (0-6). Pingry lost to Montclair Kimberley 7-0. Gill lost to MKA 10-9. What ele is there? A 13th seed?

Somerset Tech (3-2). Is it possible? Yes. Two seeds below the Jags. They beat Bound Brook 3-2 and haven't played Manville. No. 14 for the Jags.

Bound Brook (1-5). The Crusaders have a win. A 15th seed means a possible trip to Franklin Saturday. Bound Brook was eliminated by the Warriors last year in a prelim game.

Manville (0-4). The Mustangs don't play Somerset Tech and their season opening game with Bound Brook was rained out. The two play Wednesday in Manville. The Mustangs get 16 and a probable trip to North Plainfield in a prelim Saturday.

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

Harry,
I cannot dispute any of your seeding picks. All make sense. IHS and Watchung Hills still appear to be the cream of the crop even though they were both knocked off yesterday.

If IHS does not get Schoberl back on the mound, their once easy road to another Championship might be challenged.

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